January 28, 2017 SnyderTalk—Strange bedfellows: the Russian-Turkish-Iranian axis

“Not by might nor by power, but by My Spirit,” says Yahweh Sabaoth. (Zechariah 4: 6)

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Jerusalem Post—Strange bedfellows: the Russian-Turkish-Iranian axis:

Six years have lapsed since the Baghdad Pact which grouped together Turkey, Iran, Iraq and the West in an alliance against the Soviet Union and the concomitant Communist danger. Nowadays this Middle Eastern architecture has shifted 180 degrees to where Russia, Turkey and Iran are in an ad hoc alliance against Islamic State but which may turn against the West as well. Still, the new alliance might be termed as a marriage of inconvenience where each of the parties has different motives and is acting at cross purposes in partitioning the Syrian bear.

Russia has fulfilled a long-held dream of reaching the warm water of the Mediterranean and is casting itself as the hegemon in the region. The erstwhile unipolar world where the US was the only power in the Middle East has disappeared and the resulting vacuum enabled Russia to spread its influence in many countries in the region and become the arbiter in the simmering conflict in Syria.

This structural shift has convinced Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to follow the adage “if you cannot beat your enemy, join him.” Ironically, it was the domestic threat perceptions that threw Turkey into the arms of Russia. So threatening the Kurdish national movement in Turkey and Syria appeared to him that Erdogan was willing to make his peace with Russia disregarding built-in Turkish fears of being flanked by Russia from the north and the south. Driven by the need to contain or destroy the Kurdish autonomous region in Syria, Turkey had in this way to compromise on three geostrategic issues: Russia’s hegemonic power on its southern border, the survival of its nemesis the Syrian regime, and the further solidification of its rival Shi’ite Iran in Syria.

The nuclear deal with Iran which came into force a year earlier had an unexpected but ironic outcome. Rather than moving Iran to moderate its policies, democratize and ally itself with the West, the deal pushed it to increase its hegemonic aspirations in the region, destabilize it and throw its lot in with Russia. But here too the aspirations of the minor hegemon might clash with those of the bigger one as Iran, too, seeks to reach the Mediterranean by building the Shi’ite axis from Iran via Shi’ite Iraq, Alawite Syria and Shi’ite Hezbollah.

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SnyderTalk Comment:

“Strange bedfellows” is an understatement.  Russia is the odd man out.

Erdogan wants to be the Sultan of a new Ottoman Empire.  Iran wants to rule the world under Sharia law, Middle East first.  Russia wants to regain the status she once had.

If it sounds like a formula for disaster, it’s only because it is.

Erdogan can’t be trusted by anyone.  He is a snake in the grass.  His ambition is unrestrained.  He can’t accept responsibility or blame.  He won’t say “I was wrong” or “I’m sorry”.  He is wrong a lot.  We should hear those phrases from him regularly.

Iranian leaders will do anything and everything they can do to increase their power and influence.  We are at war with Iran right now, but most people don’t know it.  Hopefully, President Trump does.

Russia will be a big loser in this game.  Russia has nuclear weapons.  Iran wants nuclear weapons but doesn’t have them. From Iran’s point of view, getting into bed with Russia is a game-changer.  Unless Putin is willing to drop some of those nuclear bombs on Tehran, he needs to rethink the arrangement.

Before it’s all over, Israel will become a target for Turkey, Russia, and Iran.  That’s unavoidable.  When it happens, the U.S. needs to step in forcefully.  If we don’t, we are in trouble.

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“If My people who are called by My Name humble themselves and pray and seek My face and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, will forgive their sin and will heal their land.” (2 Chronicles 7: 14)

Change that Yahweh calls “good” begins in the hearts of believers—people who are recognizable because they are different.

We are different because we belong to Him and are called by His Name.  We are Yahweh’s people, His followers.

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“The glory which You have given Me I have given to them, that they may be one, just as We are one; I in them and You in Me, that they may be perfected in unity, so that the world may know that You sent Me, and loved them, even as You have loved Me. Father, I desire that they also, whom You have given Me, be with Me where I am, so that they may see My glory which You have given Me, for You loved Me before the foundation of the world.” (John 17: 22-24)

See “His Name is Yahweh”.

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